Mostrando entradas con la etiqueta Telefónica. Mostrar todas las entradas
Mostrando entradas con la etiqueta Telefónica. Mostrar todas las entradas

viernes, 23 de septiembre de 2011

Telefónica Digital - A pity (for Spain)

A couple of weeks ago we got the news that César Alierta (Telefónica's Chairman) had decided to restructure the company (Article in El País in Spanish). Telefónica became structured in 4 main divisions: Latam & Europe, General Resources & Digital.

Yesterday the news where that Telefónica had made public the names of the second layer of managment, the people below the heads of the four divisions. (El Economista in Spanish). I was quite happy to see an old school friend there, and also to see a spaniard as head of Product Development and Innovation under Mr. Key.

I haven't seen any reactions yet to yesterday's news. Two weeks ago the first thing I read in twitter was a Spanish ex-minister asking if we should be worried about Telefónica moving its HQ out of Spain. Typical comment by someone that just wants to put the public opinion against Telefónica and Alierta. It is true that there is always that risk, but for the time being I don't think it is realistic to consider it.

However, something dramatic for Spain happened. Almost as important in the long term as having the HQ of Telefónica moved out of Madrid: the new Digital division, that is in charge of all digital services, Internet and innovation (that is, everything that gives money to the company apart from voice, basically) will be headquartered in London and under Matthew Key.

What does this mean? It means that all new revenue streams will come from UK. All innovation, all new ideas will controlled by UK. All decisions regarding R&D will come from UK. Many projects will still be deveoped in Spain and other countries... but the weight of that division is in UK.

Why would Alierta do that? He had no need to do it, he wasn't forced to. If he has made that decision it is because he believes its the best for the company. There are rumors of the reasons but I won't get into them... but the fact is that he has done it and Digital is now in UK.

We must not forget that, unfortunately for them, carriers are currently followers in innovation, not leaders. Their fight (at least in Spain) is to offer more bandwidth or better prices. However, all service and product innovation has been taken out of their hands by the Apples, Googles, Facebooks, Samsungs, RIMs... etc.

I think carriers are making repeated mistakes. They are launching projects that lead nowhere because either they haven't been thought thoroughly or because they are born without leadership in mind.

If you are Telefónica and you decide to launch an ebook, its not to put another piece of hardware in an already competitive market... its to offer a whole package of services and a radically different experience to your clients. You are Telefónica, you can do it... you have the cash, you have the people and you have the position in the market needed to align all players in order to offer a successful service. If you launch an ebook its because you want to compete with Amazon, not to make a press release and forget about it. That would mean you've thrown down the drain several million euros during the project and, honestly, you shouldn't want that. If you do it, why don't you do it well? (May seem stupid to quote a green fiction character but.. "Do or do not, there is no try".)

If you are Telefónica you have the research and should have the insights to decide not to launch a project like Keteke and throw down the drain over 10 million euros. Seriously, who didn't see that coming when the project was launched? And in order correct the error you decide to buy another social network for 70 million euros? I think that was another mistake... not for Tuenti, which is a great company and seems to be doing well, but for strategic reasons I may talk about some other time.

If to the above (and some other things) you add that Mr. Key must have done a couple of things correctly... the result is that he has received all digital businesses. It's a prize and Alierta seems to have realised that you need a way of thinking, a way of doing things that here in Spain, unfortunately, it isn't possible yet. Maybe it's a saxon, a british or an english mentality. Maybe it's still the heirloom of the many years Telefónica was a state-owned company.... but something doesn't work.

A few days ago I was saying (check post) that Managers and Directors don't seem to understand the Market and their role in it... sometimes it seems that they are running (because they are, they don't stop doing things, there are many people working really hard) but they do so like headless chickens. In a company such as Telefónica, if they really want to compete with Google, Facebook, Yahoo, etc. they need to wake up. They need to speed up processes to the limit, they need to stop thinking about present revenue streams and how to keep them at current levels and start thinking about what is needed for the future, independently of the current situation.

SMS are dead, revenues will go down and in a few years will disappear. Forget them, full point. Have a small team working on them to manage and try to keep the service alive as long as possible but put all your efforts on developing new revenue streams that will compensate for the loss... without legacies, without barriers, total innovation. Be quicker than Whatsapp, Viber, Skype... See where alliances with other carriers are possible and needed to compete with Apple or Google... because the greatest danger for a carrier today isn't other carriers... its Apple & Google.

Because the threat isn't losing some users to the other carriers... the real threat is that Apple manages to take control of the SIM, starts to offer data plans with roaming for a flat fee and takes all that revenue (and that would really be a lot of revenue) from the carriers. The real threat is that Google launches a MVNO throughout Europe. Just imagine that voice becomes Facetime, SMS becomes iChat... no more voice calls, no more SMS... the carriers would suffer.

Telefónica needs to be able to launch an App Store in just two months after Apple does it. It needs to be able to launch and adapt a social network at the same speed as Facebook is reacting and adapting its own service taking Google+ and Twitter's best functionalities. Needs to be able to compete with Whatsapp in a few weeks and not launch over-dimensioned projects that take months to specify, months to select providers, months to develop, months to integrate, then a pilot, then make a final revision and finally release it. By then Whatsapp, Apple's Chat, Google's one will be all over the place and yours will crash into a concrete wall.

You have 10.000 million euros net profit... what are you waiting for to bang the fist on the table and straighten things out? The changes in the past 3 weeks are the beginning, but they shouldnt stop there!

The pity for Spain, for Spanish engineers and developers, for Spanish technology companies, is that Digital's HQ are now in London.

jueves, 15 de septiembre de 2011

Telefónica's CDN, good or bad move?

Yesterday a couple of spanish newspapers decided to "attack" Telefónica:

  • El País (In spanish, inside the article: Monetisation of this service puts in question network neutrality) 
  • Público (In spanish, the header: Telefónica finds a way to make Facebook and Google pay [...for network usage]) 

  Both articles described a new "VIP" service telefónica had launched: a CDN. Yes, you read right, a CDN. Supposedly this breaks network neutrality...

  Hours later Enrique Dans made a good post on his blog, I hope the journalists read it.

  First of all, it is a pity that on two of Spain's main newspapers there are journalists writing on something they have no clue about, and what's worse, not consulting an expert before writing nonsense.

  But leaving aside journalists and editors incompetence in this matter, lets focus on the real deal and what has been bothering me for some time now: What will the role of the carrier be in the market, considering the path it is taking?

Too many mistakes: Managers and Directors don't seem to understand the market and their role in it

  I won't make friends with this but this is the true situation, and denying the truth doesn't make it disappear.

  We have transitioned from the walled gardens to the total openness of iPhones and Androids where the carrier has no control on what's happening in the handset. From a total control on the carrier side to becoming a mere spectator.

  During Summer 2008 Apple launched the App Store. It took Nokia 1 year to react. Telefonica will launch soon its own App store... 3 years after Apple... and this brings me back to my last post: Business thoughts: Competition vs Market Fragmentation

  Telefónica launched Keteke, its own social network, in November 2008. They spent about 10 million Euros. In august 2010 it was closed, a few weeks after Telefonica bought 85% of Tuenti, main spanish social network, for 72 million Euros. (We'll see what happens with Tuenti, got my own thoughts on that...)

  We know what happened with Lycos and Terra...

  And so on and so forth...

  We've been mentioning Telefónica but similar things are happening on other carriers.

The future: Back To Basics

  From time to time managers need to take two steps back, get out of the forest and see the real picture. We are in a moment in time where carriers need to get back to their true role (even if they don't like it or believe it is too unglamorous for them... I'd also like to be John Carmack, Tim Sweeney or Steve Jobs, but you can't always get what you want)

  These are the basics of a carrier:

  •   Network Infrastructure
  •   Voice + Data income 
  •   Customer information and access

  ... and they have to focus on them and forget the rest because experience tells us they don't know how to do it.

  They have to use their network and put it in value. Doing things like launching the CDN Telefónica is launching is a smart move and it should be the first of many.

  Voice income is going down, data income is going up... work with that, analyse behavior, usage, look for deeply hidden patterns that will let you innovate with pricing, with service packaging... drive revenues up through more attractive pricing plans.

  Monetise all the knowledge you have on your costumers through targetted advertising, to establish JV with companies such as Groupon, etc.

  Take advantage of the trust your users have in your billing system, use your processing power, the ability to provide real-time information to your users and provide them with a state-of-the-art experience for mobile payments. Forget about controlling it, you are not a bank, you are not VISA, you're not even Paypal... join them, work with them... accept a smaller share of the pie but make that pie grow through synergies.

  And, finally, do 3 more things (that will make you win, in 5-10 years, a lot of money in many ways):

  1.  Create a early-stage venture fund with 25 million euros every year that will allow you to invest 250K€ in 100 companies every year. 25 million euros is less than 0,25% of Telefónica's net profit in 2010... peanuts for them)
  2.   Create a growth venture fund with 25 million euros every year that will allow you to invest 2.5 Million€ in 10 startups every year.
  3.   Get a good team for those funds.  

  I only wish Alierta, Fdez-Valbuena, Pallete... read this...

martes, 13 de septiembre de 2011

Business thoughts: Competition vs Market Fragmentation

In the past couple of weeks we have been reading some of these news:


Some talk about companies getting into markets to compete... but others aren't about competition, they are about fragmentation... which is quite different.

You and I can compete in many things... you may decide to manufacture a car and if I decide to compete with you I could manufacture one too... users would be able to buy yours or mine, but they know that the fuel can be bought at the same place, that they use the same roads and streets, and that they can be parked in the same parking spaces.

Now imagine if your car and mine couldn't use the same fuel... and that there are 5 or 6 other people manufacturing cars that use different fuels too. And different streets... and... and... it would be a nightmare.

That is the difference between fragmentation and competition.

If you want to fragment a market you need to have all the cards ready to guarantee yourself enough market share to prevail. You can't fragment to keep a 5% market share because you'll be eaten quite fast.

Apple can decide to fragment a market but only because they create a great product and provide all the tools it needs to succeed: good software, application store, content store, etc. Amazon can do the same (and did with Kindle) but what will Gamestop offer to differentiate itself? Games? Sony has a "Playstation certified" tablet... but of course Sony owns the Playstation and the Playstation Network. Will GameStop prevail as a player in the tablet market? We'll see...

The 3 most important Spanish carriers want to enter into the IM arena... (I remember when in 2001 we had in Xfera/Yoigo a IM project, compatible with MSN Messenger and Yahoo Messenger) to compete with WhatsApp (and the messengers Apple and others will release). How much money are they investing to create the "mega IM platform"? How will they make us change from WhatsApp to their new IM? Are their offering innovative new features? Will it be centred on user experience or just a defensive movement? or a tantrum against the loss of income? We'll see...

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